"2M today, 10M with no change in technology"? An informal survey.

Mon Aug 27 23:12:42 UTC 2007

On Aug 27, 2007, at 2:49 PM, Deepak Jain wrote:
> According to this link, which alleges to be from cisco-nsp, an  
> MSFC2 can hold 256,000 entries in its FIB of which 12,000 are  
> reserved for Multicast. I do not know if the 12,000 can be set to  
> serve the general purpose.
>
> The MSFC2 therefore can server 244,000 routes without uRPF turned on.
>
> Any reasonably valid way of predicting when we'll hit 244,000  
> routes in the default-free zone?

Um?

Real Soon Now?

According to http://www.cidr-report.org/as2.0/ we're at 233,000  
routes (as seen from AS 2.0 now) and the rate of growth as seen from
http://bgp.potaroo.net/ seems pretty steep.

I must be missing something obvious (or should I be dusting off my  
unused Y2K survival gear?)

Thanks,
-drc