New IPv4 Allocation to ARIN

Mon Jan 19 22:55:14 UTC 2004

I don't know for certain and I'm guessing based on existing pattern (although
for 70/8 ARIN did mention at one point it will be allocated to them I think).
The pattern is that IANA tries to allocate blocks consequently to RIRs
(don't know why, its not like like RIRs would be announcing blocks as /7 :)
and right now this looks as as follows:
 ARIN: 64/8 -> ... -> 79/8 (so next one is 71/8, then 72/8, etc)
 RIPE: 80/8 -> .... ???? (so next one 85/8)
 APNIC: 218/8 -> 223/8 (note: 223/8 had reserved /24 and APNIC turned down 
		        this allocation, so it remains in reserve)
        61/8 -> 58/8 (so next one I'll guess to be 59/8, then 58/8)
        Also I'm going to make a prediction that after 58/8, the next 
	block maybe 126/8 counting backwards again towards RIPE blocks
 LACNIC: 200/8 -> 201/8 (I'm not certain which will be next, if I have to 
			 guess, it might be 49/8 and 50/8)
 AFRINIC: 196/8 -> 197/8 (too far away to guess any other ones)

We'll see how correct these predictions are, lets come back to this in say 
year 2010 and then you can get me for being so very wrong :)

On Mon, 19 Jan 2004, Owen DeLong wrote:

> Not to rain on your parade, but, how do you know 71 will go to ARIN and
> not to RIPE, APNIC, or LACNIC or AfriNIC?
> 
> Owen
> 
> 
> --On Monday, January 19, 2004 9:27 -0800 william at elan.net wrote:
> 
> >
> >
> > It has been known for quite some time that next block to be allocated to
> > ARIN is 70/8 (and next one will be 71/8). It might have been nice if ARIN
> > were to run projections and inform community that by its projections it
> > will be requesting new /8 ip block in say 2 month time.
> >
> > On Mon, 19 Jan 2004, Daniel Karrenberg wrote:
> >
> >>
> >> On 16.01 13:13, jlewis at lewis.org wrote:
> >> > ...
> >> > Alternatively, the RIRs might consider doing this sort of thing before
> >> > allocating IPs from new blocks.  I know it's not their job to make sure
> >> > IPs are routable (especially not on every remote network), but as
> >> > holders of all the IPs, they are in the best position to setup such
> >> > test sites that would expose problems before they're dumped on
> >> > members.
> >>
> >> Personally I agree with you and I will argue accordingly in the relevant
> >> places. Cooperation with the bogon project seems logical too.
> >>
> >> Daniel