Pinging TELUS: Another Big day for IPv6 - 10% native penetration

Jacques Latour jacques.latour at cira.ca
Fri Jan 22 16:51:59 UTC 2016


Hi,
Can someone from Telus ping me off-list re:IPv6 deployment.
Jack

> -----Original Message-----
> From: NANOG [mailto:nanog-bounces at nanog.org] On Behalf Of Jacques
> Latour
> Sent: January-04-16 11:45 AM
> To: Jared Mauch; Ca By; nanog at nanog.org
> Subject: RE: Another Big day for IPv6 - 10% native penetration
> 
> Great news and even more impressive is that Canada is the fastest adopter
> with ~8% IPv6 penetration, growing from almost 0.5% to 8% in 3 months!!!.
> See http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/CA
> 
> Telus is making a big difference in Canada as the IPv6 adoption leader @
> ~45% IPv6 adoption.
> http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/AS852?c=CA&g=&w=1&x=1
> 
> Hint, hint, subliminal message here for all Canadian ISPs, IPv6 works  ;-)
> 
> So let's shutdown IPv4 on April 4, 2024
> 
> Bonne Année!
> 
> 
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: NANOG [mailto:nanog-bounces at nanog.org] On Behalf Of Jared
> Mauch
> > Sent: January-04-16 11:28 AM
> > To: Ca By
> > Cc: nanog at nanog.org
> > Subject: Re: Another Big day for IPv6 - 10% native penetration
> >
> >
> > > On Jan 4, 2016, at 11:09 AM, Ca By <cb.list6 at gmail.com> wrote:
> > >
> > >> On Mon, Jan 4, 2016 at 3:26 AM, Neil Harris
> > >> <neil at tonal.clara.co.uk>
> > wrote:
> > >>
> > >>> On 02/01/16 15:35, Tomas Podermanski wrote:
> > >>>
> > >>> Hi,
> > >>>
> > >>>     according to Google's statistics
> > >>> (https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html) on 31st
> > >>> December
> > >>> 2015 the IPv6 penetration reached 10% for the very first time.
> > >>> Just a little reminder. On 20th Nov 2012 the number was 1%. In
> > >>> December we also celebrated the 20th anniversary of IPv6
> > >>> standardization - RFC
> > 1883.
> > >>>
> > >>> I'm wondering when we reach another significant milestone - 50%
> > >>> :-)
> > >>>
> > >>> Tomas
> > >> Given the recent doubling growth, and assuming this trend is
> > >> following a logistic function, then, rounding the numbers a bit for
> > neatness, I get:
> > >>
> > >> Jan 2016: 10%
> > >> Jan 2017: 20%
> > >> Jan 2018: 33%
> > >> Jan 2019: 50%
> > >> Jan 2020: 67%
> > >> Jan 2021: 80%
> > >> Jan 2022: 90%
> > >>
> > >> with IPv4 traffic then halving year by year from then on, and IPv4
> > >> switch-off (ie. traffic < 1%) around 2027.
> > >>
> > >> Neil
> > > Just a reminder, that 10% is a global number.
> > >
> > > The number in the USA is 25% today in general, is 37% for mobile devices.
> > >
> > > Furthermore, forecasting is a dark art that frequently simply
> > > extends the past onto the future.  It does not account for
> > > purposeful engineering design like the "world IPv6 launch" or iOS updates.
> > >
> > > For example, once Apple cleanses the app store of IPv4 apps in 2016
> > > as they have committed and pushes one of their ubiquitous iOS
> > > updates, you may see substantial jumps over night in IPv6 eyeballs,
> > > possibly meaningful moving that 37% number to over 50% in a few shorts
> weeks.
> > >
> > > This will squarely make it clear that IPv4 is minority legacy
> > > protocol for all of mobile, and thusly the immediate future of the internet.
> >
> > I for one welcome the iOS update that brings v6 APN native access to
> > my phone, or at least v4v6 APN setting.
> >
> > I keep hearing rumors it is "coming soon".
> >
> > This could have a similar step function in the traffic and graphs.



More information about the NANOG mailing list