"It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM

staticsafe me at staticsafe.ca
Tue Apr 23 22:36:20 UTC 2013


On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote:
> In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400,
> Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
>> I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:
>> 
>> http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf
>> 
>> tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in
>> August this year.
> 
> Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005: 
> https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf
>
>  I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4
> June 2013".
> 
> Those of us who paid attention are well prepared.
> 
> tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were
> remarkably close to the reality 8 years later.
> 
On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently:

"A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition"
http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2013-04/primer.html

Discussion:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5586519

-- 
staticsafe
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