off-topic: historical query concerning the Internet bubble
jared at puck.nether.net
Sun Aug 8 09:29:32 CDT 2010
One thing I have heard repeated about one large carrier is that only 10% of their network is used for their Internet product. The remainder of it is used for private leased lines (could also be someone running IP) or another carrier that is leasing a loop or tdm service from them.
On Aug 8, 2010, at 9:30 AM, odlyzko at umn.edu (Andrew Odlyzko) wrote:
> Fascinating. Memories may be plastic (something that has been
> established scientifically), or else we may have yet another
> inconsistency to add to the pile of others. Is there any
> documentation about the "doubling every nine months"? I have
> never seen that particular claim emanating from anyone involved
> with WorldCom/UUNet.
> On the other hand, existing record shows (among others):
> 1. U.S. Department of Commerce white paper from April 1998,
> on p. 8 declares that "UUNET, one of the largest Internet
> backbone providers, estimates that Internet traffic doubles
> every 100 days," with a reference to an Inktomi white paper
> that attributes this claim to Mike O'Dell. The Inktomi
> report is no longer on the Web, but I can provide a copy
> to anyone interested.
> 2. The transcript of the May 2000 presentation by O'Dell
> at a Stanford conference clearly has him saying that the
> capacity of the UUNet network, as measured by OC12-miles,
> doubles every four months,
> As is explained in my paper, in the 1998-2000 time frame,
> essentially all the WorldCom/UUNet claims then seemed to be
> about capacity, not traffic.
> 3. The year-end 2000 email from O'Dell to Dave Farber's IP list,
> has him talking of traffic doubling each year, while capacity
> grows 8-fold.
> If some time in that period there was a claim of a "doubling
> every nine months," too, that would be very interesting.
> Randy Bush <randy at psg.com> wrote:
>>>> my memory is that he said doubling every nine months.
>>> Mine too.
>> mo's too. i asked.
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