Rate of growth on IPv6 not fast enough?
bicknell at ufp.org
Mon Apr 19 09:31:18 CDT 2010
In a message written on Sun, Apr 18, 2010 at 10:22:25PM -0700, joel jaeggli wrote:
> Just because the curve doesn't look steep enough now doesn't mean it
> won't in two years. Human behavior is hard to model and panic hasn't set
> in yet.
There is also an aspect of this transition I don't think we've seen
before (in networking). A large percentage of end users are on
technologies (cable modem, dsl, even dial up) who's configuration
is entirely driven out of a provisioning database.
Once the backbone is rolled out, the nameservers, dhcp, and
configuration servers dual-stacked many ISP's could enable IPv6 for
all of their customers overnight with only a few keystrokes. Now
they won't literally do it that way to save their support folks,
but if the need arises they will be able to push the button quite
I suspect the middle part of this S curve is going to be much, much
steeper than anyone is predicting right now.
Leo Bicknell - bicknell at ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
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