[Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010

David Coulson david at davidcoulson.net
Mon Apr 21 14:22:32 CDT 2008


Steve Gibbard wrote:
> Maybe I just don't spend enough time around the "leave the TV on all day" 
> demographic.  Is that a realistic number?  Is there something bigger than 
> HDTV video that ATT expects people to start downloading?
>   
I would not be surprised if many households watch more than 10hrs of TV 
per day. My trusty old series 2 TiVo often records 5-8hrs of TV per day, 
even if I don't watch any of it.

Right now I can get 80 or so channels of basic cable, and who knows how 
many of Digital Cable/Satellite for as many TVs as I can fit in my house 
without the Internet buckling under the pressure. I assume AT&T is just 
saying "We use this pipe for TV and Internet, hence all TV is now 
considered Internet traffic"? How many people are REALLY going to be 
pulling 10hrs of HD or even SD TV across their Internet connection, 
rather than just taking what is Multicasted from a Satellite base 
station by their TV service provider? Is there something significant 
about AT&T's model (other than the VDSL over twisted pair, rather than 
coax/fiber to the prem) that makes them more afraid than Comcast, 
Charter or Cox?

Maybe I'm just totally missing something - Wouldn't be the first time. 
Why would TV of any sort even touch the 'Internet'. And, no, YouTube is 
not "TV" as far as I'm concerned.




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