[Nanog] ATT VP: Internet to hit capacity by 2010
billn at billn.net
Fri Apr 18 15:32:58 CDT 2008
I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was an element of multi-pronged
lobbying approaches, reminiscent of the 'fiber to the home' tax break
series that hit a handful of years back that got us pretty much nothing.
Given trivial tech milestones like these:
I call bullshit.
Besides, by 2010 we'll be staring down a global economy collapse and
people will be too busy trying to find food to get online and download
On Fri, 18 Apr 2008, Scott Francis wrote:
> I find claims that "soon everything will be HD" somewhat dubious
> (working for a company that produces video for online distribution) -
> although certainly not as eyebrow-raising as "in 3 years' time, 20
> typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet
> today". Is there some secret plan to put 40Gb ethernet to "typical
> households" in the next 3 years that I haven't heard about? I don't
> have accurate figures on how much traffic "the entire Internet"
> generates, but I'm fairly certain that 5% of it could not be generated
> by any single household regardless of equipment installed, torrents
> traded or videos downloaded. Even given a liberal application of
> Moore's Law, I doubt that would be the case in 2010 either.
> Does anybody know what the basis for Mr. Cicconi's claims were (if
> they even had a basis at all)? Internal reports from ATT engineering?
> Perusal of industry news sources? IRC? A lot of scary numbers were
> tossed into the air without any mention of how they were derived. A
> cynical person might be tempted to think it was all a scare tactic to
> soften up legislators for the next wave of "reasonable network
> management" practices that just happen to have significant revenue
> streams attached to them ...
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