Network end users to pull down 2 gigabytes a day, continuously?

Tue Jan 9 16:29:32 UTC 2007

Those numbers are reasonably accurate for some networks at certain  
times. There is often a back and forth between BitTorrent and NNTP  
traffic. Many ISPs regulate BitTorrent traffic for this very reason.  
Massive increases in this type of traffic would not be looked upon  
favorably.

If you considered my previous posts, you would know I agree streaming  
is scary on a large scale, but unicast streaming is what I reference.  
Multicast streaming is the real solution. Ultimately, a global  
multicast network is the only way to deliver these services to a  
large market.

Gian Anthony Constantine
Senior Network Design Engineer
Earthlink, Inc.
Office: 404-748-6207
Cell: 404-808-4651
Internal Ext: x22007
constantinegi at corp.earthlink.net

On Jan 9, 2007, at 11:01 AM, Joe Abley wrote:

>
>
> On 8-Jan-2007, at 22:26, Gian Constantine wrote:
>
>> My contention is simple. The content providers will not allow P2P  
>> video as a legal commercial service anytime in the near future.  
>> Furthermore, most ISPs are going to side with the content  
>> providers on this one. Therefore, discussing it at this point in  
>> time is purely academic, or more so, diversionary.
>
> There are some ISPs in North America who tell me that something  
> like 80% of their traffic *today* is BitTorrent. I don't know how  
> accurate their numbers are, or whether those ISPs form a  
> representative sample, but it certainly seems possible that the  
> traffic exists regardless of the legality of the distribution.
>
> If the traffic is real, and growing, the question is neither  
> academic nor diversionary.
>
> However, if we close our eyes and accept for a minute that P2P  
> video isn't happening, and all growth in video over the Internet  
> will be in real-time streaming, then I think the future looks a lot  
> more scary. When TSN.CA streamed the World Junior Hockey  
> Championship final via Akamai last Friday, there were several ISPs  
> in Toronto who saw their transit traffic *double* during the game.
>
>
> Joe
>

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