shim6 @ NANOG (forwarded note from John Payne)

Geoff Huston gih at
Sun Mar 5 19:39:14 UTC 2006

At 07:37 AM 4/03/2006, Marshall Eubanks wrote:

>On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:
>>On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:
>>>No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool
>>>exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to
>>>roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad
>>>dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).
>>>Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:
>>So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft
>>some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :
>>0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available
>>when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.).
>>1. Ducttape ala shim6
>>2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new
>>addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.
>I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will
>actually happen is
>the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.

That was part of the speculative component of my report at the time, and, 
no, I won't be lining up to take your bet  - I agree with you that such a 
market is pretty much an inevitably.

Of course you could always start a futures market right now!




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