OMB: IPv6 by June 2008

Edward Lewis Ed.Lewis at neustar.biz
Wed Jul 6 17:55:43 UTC 2005


At 19:23 +0200 7/6/05, Iljitsch van Beijnum wrote:

With the chicken little-ing again...

>You are approaching the problem at the wrong end by asking "what's in it for
>me to adopt IPv6 now". The real question is "is IPv6 inevitable in the long
>run".

Pardon my skepticism, but I recall hearing about the coming of the 
world due to pollution in the 1970's and the end of the oil supply by 
the 1980's.  (E.g., see http://www.ncpa.org/pub/bg/bg159/ for a 
discussion on the latter, albeit written before the most recent oil 
'scare.')

The point isn't whether IPv6 is good or not - it's that long-range 
predictions are often wrong.  For every "memex" 
(http://www.iath.virginia.edu/elab/hfl0051.html) there's an oil 
crisis, Ada, GOSIP, economic default of New York City (Ford to City: 
Drop Dead! - NY Daily News, Oct 30, 1975)...

>So by all means, be an IPv6 hold out as long as you like, but don't assume
>that just because adopting IPv6 doesn't make economic sense for you now, it
>isn't going to happen at some point in the next decade. No rush, though.

http://www.nanog.org/mtg-0405/augmentation.html

Been there, done that, documented and shared results.  (Yes, got the 
T-Shirt too.  It was a NANOG, after all.)  That wasn't even the first 
go-round I had with IPv6.

My experiences were that IPv6 was painful - I ran into a lot of 
application bugs, OS's didn't deal with it well, and the ISP's were 
tough to deal with - as in, not many suppliers, not enough expertise 
to deliver on promises.

Maybe things are better now (note the use of past tense in the 
previous paragraph), I don't deal with IPv6 at this time.

-- 
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Edward Lewis                                                +1-571-434-5468
NeuStar

If you knew what I was thinking, you'd understand what I was saying.



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