BGP Economics ?

Mon Apr 9 08:58:44 UTC 2001

At 09:08 08/04/01 +1000, Geoff Huston wrote:

>So, if there is a belief that BGP table growth has slowed down in the 
>first three months of this year due to social pressure, I do not support 
>such a view even though the AS1221 data appears to indicate this. Its just 
>local issues. The AS286 view supports the view that the underlying growth 
>drivers are as strong as ever and the various efforts of nag mail of 
>network operators has been largely (and predictably) ineffectual.

I decided to track how well my emails are doing.  I have contacted about 25 
ASNs so far based on Tony's report over ther past 3 months:

AS      Nets then    Nets now   Net gain/loss
AS1221  1652         1594       -58
AS701   1581         1469       -112
AS11371  324           74       -250
AS4151   277          242       -35
AS3549   432          149       -283
AS271    280           73       -207
AS7545   196          138       -58
AS9269   162          113       -49
AS8006   146           19       -127
AS6429   218          212       -6
AS6595   163          163       0
AS13999  109           87       -22
AS4293   384          372       -12
AS8013   330          565       +235
AS4755   213          204       -9
AS1942   136           55       -81
AS1727   176           14       -162
AS9498    87           80       -7
AS6499   170           39       -131
AS5106   101          101       0
AS11170   64           28       -36
AS16758   63           63       0
AS3464   153          123       -30
AS3749   120          121       +1
AS6413    67           67       0

Withdrawn nets: 1675, added nets: 236, net reduction: 1409 nets.  Now I 
guess some of these would have reduced their routing announcements in any 
event.  Is this a scientific study?  No.  Does it show that perhaps the 
routing table growth can be flattened via contacting ASN admins?  I believe 
the answer is yes.

-Hank

PS I have contacted AS8013 (PSA Canada) on March 6 (swip at PSI.CA, 
noc at psi.ca).  No response and only a large growth over the past month.  If 
anyone has better contact info than what is listed in ARIN and RADB, please 
feel free to let me know.

>At 4/8/01 08:16 AM, Marshall Eubanks wrote:
>>Dear Geoff;
>>
>>    I just noticed the remarkable flattening in the recent growth of the 
>> BGP table
>>in your BGP graphs at :
>>http://www.telstra.net/ops/bgp/index.html
>>
>>It didn't even seem this striking at Minneapolis.
>>
>>
>>
>>                                    Regards
>>                                    Marshall Eubanks
>>
>>
>>    Multicast Technologies, Inc.
>>    10301 Democracy Lane, Suite 410
>>    Fairfax, Virginia 22030
>>    Phone : 703-293-9624          Fax     : 703-293-9609
>>    e-mail : tme at on-the-i.com     http://www.on-the-i.com
>>
>>  Test your network for multicast : http://www.multicasttech.com/mt/
>