"It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM

Wed Apr 24 14:55:58 UTC 2013

this is still my favorite post on this subject:

http://mailman.nanog.org/pipermail/nanog/2011-February/031737.html

t

On Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 3:36 PM, staticsafe <me at staticsafe.ca> wrote:

> On 4/23/2013 18:04, Leo Bicknell wrote:
> > In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400,
> > Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
> >> I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper:
> >>
> >> http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf
> >>
> >> tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in
> >> August this year.
> >
> > Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005:
> >
> https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf
> >
> >  I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4
> > June 2013".
> >
> > Those of us who paid attention are well prepared.
> >
> > tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were
> > remarkably close to the reality 8 years later.
> >
> On that note, something Mr. Huston wrote more recently:
>
> "A Primer on IPv4, IPv6 and Transition"
> http://www.potaroo.net/ispcol/2013-04/primer.html
>
> Discussion:
> https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5586519
>
> --
> staticsafe
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>
>