ICANN opens up Pandora's Box of new TLDs

Eric Brunner-Williams brunner at nic-naa.net
Mon Jun 30 13:16:12 CDT 2008


Tony Finch wrote:
> On Sun, 29 Jun 2008, Stephane Bortzmeyer wrote:
>   
>> I am very curious of what tests a "security-aware programmer" can do,
>> based on the domain name, which will not be possible tomorrow, should
>> ICANN allow a few more TLDs.
>>     
>
> It makes the "public suffix list" project harder, but so long as the list
> of TLDs changes reasonably slowly, it shouldn't become impossible.
> http://publicsuffix.org/
>
> Tony.
>   
Assuming O(1k) applications, and the numbers ICANN staff were using in 
February were 300 to 600, with the determining factors (a) existence of 
subsequent rounds and their temporal offsets, (b) actual application 
fee, originally guesstimated in the USD 100k range, now twice that, a 
sort of "self-imposed auction based on pain", or rumor mill run amok, 
depending on one point of view, and (c) the number of sunspots in the 
quarter that ICANN actually accepts applications; and application 
survival rates of 10% to 50% in the evaluation processes;

then

the root string insertion frequency may be as bounded above by 24 hours 
on average and below by 168 hours on average.

It will be different. I pointed this out in the Registrar Constituency 
meeting in Paris Tuesday last, that our assumptions about the size of 
the registrars was already off by more than an order of magnitude, and 
our assumption about the size of the registries was about to fail as 
well, and that there were some additional non-scaling reasons to revisit 
the EPP design.

Eric




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