[Fwd: [IP] Japan facing bandwidth shortage due to take-up in broadband]

Suresh Ramasubramanian suresh at outblaze.com
Thu Jun 10 00:13:32 UTC 2004


I wonder how much of this is bandwidth that could be saved by clamping 
down on worm traffic / assorted junk from zombies and open proxies etc, 
before investing in new bandwidth on a national scale - and in upgrading 
routers and other kit for that purpose.

And I do believe that a lot of the bandwidth for broadband (true 
broadband that is, not what the average US ISP would call "dsl" or 
"cable") there is online gaming traffic... bandwidth requirements for 
that would be increasing steadily if I don't miss my guess.

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: [IP] Japan facing bandwidth shortage due to take-up in broadband
Date: Wed, 9 Jun 2004 19:07:04 -0400
From: David Farber <dave at farber.net>
Reply-To: dave at farber.net
To: Ip <ip at v2.listbox.com>



Begin forwarded message:


[Thanks to Adam Peake for this pointer. Some excerpts - BSA]

http://neasia.nikkeibp.com/wcs/leaf?CID=onair/asabt/fw/292043

Prediction of Communications Crisis Prompts Japan's Telecom Ministry to
Take
Action

February 23, 2004 (TOKYO) -- Japan's Ministry of Public Management, Home
Affairs, Posts and Telecommunications (MPHPT) is taking the initiative
to
establish a study group in order to circumvent a potential
communications
crisis that could occur in Japan due to a sharp increase in data
communications traffic.

Predicting that the spread of broadband communications may cause
capacity
shortages in existing communications infrastructures as soon as five
years
from now, and strong possibilities of triggering interruptions, the
MPHPT
plans to launch countermeasures aimed at reinforcing the communications
infrastructure. The study group expects to release a midterm report this
summer.

According to the report, data communications traffic across the country
has
been expanded nearly 1,000 times as large as that observed in the last
10
years. If it continues to increase at this pace, the domestic data
communications traffic should reach as much as 1,024 times the current
volume in the next 10 years.

With the current facilities as they are, a simple calculation shows that
actual communications traffic will exceed the backbone's maximum
capacity as
soon as five years from now.

That is not the only problem. Capacity limits of devices -- routers and
switches that constitute communications networks -- are coming within
sight.
In order to handle huge communications traffic without any delay,
large-capacity routers of more than 10Tbps are required. To deal with
growing data communications traffic, it is imperative to reinvest in the
communications infrastructure, such as an expansion of relay-network
capacities by adding new optical fibers and communications equipment.




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